[dispatch of Sai Di net] on March 22 message, " Forbes " the website published the United States to manage a member to be being mixed to author of fund Ironfire Capital on March 21 Eric Jackson (Eric M. An article of Jackson) , analysed malic stock price to be in the reason that the end of the year will reach 1650 dollars 2015. It is an article below main content.
Malic stock price every rise we meet 100 dollars to hear an alarmist to say in commercial TV program, malic stock price won't continue to rise. They say, this is unprecedented. Malic scale is too large. Steve Qiaobusi has died. Each person likes an apple. It is a bubble.
Really, previously never an any so big companies have this opportunity and inferior market share so now like the apple. Of Qiao Busi great the other member that covered malic group really is how outstanding.
Jackson says, malic stock price reached 600 dollars now. But, I think malic stock price is returned on this foundation will continue to rise. If what everything expects like m the best selling memory laptop toshiba e, malic stock is in the end of the year will reach 1650 dollars 2015. Its reason is as follows:
Mac machine:
This is malic product in combination most by the part of person oversight. The growth rate of Mac machine all the time industry of prep above PC. The sale of last quarters increases Mac chance compared to the same period 26% , the most popular brooch pins on one money year sale grows 22% compared to the same period. The increase rate of Mac machine is rising all the time. Halo effect of the apple is being shown truly. If this increase rate continues, mac machine sale will go to 55 million from 17 million growth 2011 2015. brass faucet
IPad:
What before believing very hard two years, create is new 20% what a kind of product takes malic income now. IPad since 55 million had been sold since rolling out, predict to sell 58 million possibly 2012. The apple is trying hard to reach the market share of similar IPod with IPad apparently, is not the market share of similar IPhone.
A lot of people predict sale of global flat computer will amount to 500 million 2015. Imagine not hard, the apple will hold the market share of 60% in those days, sell 300 million IPad.
IPhone:
Although we think IPhone has made the market saturated, but, because functional mobile phone transforms to the smartphone, IPhone just just begins actually. Analyst of Asymco of firm of Finnish market research Huolisi Dediwu (Horace Dediu) most popular selling canon ef 15mm predicts, how to add functional mobile phone and smartphone, 6% what IPhone holds share of market of whole mobile phone only at present.
53% what IPhone takes malic income at present. Think back to, IPhone is rolled out have 5 years of time only. T free memory card digital cameras o most popular selling t mobile prepaid cards 2015, 44% what IPhone will take malic income.
IPhone sale was 72 million 2011. To 2015, the sale of IPhone will grow 6 times. If smartphone sale achieved 1.5 billion 2015, the apple will hold the market share of 32% .
ITunes:
ITunes is malic product after assembling relay Mac plane the part that is forgotten the most easily by people. Nevertheless, the pure sales revenue of last ITunes quarters is 2 billion dollar. Facebook has 1.1 billion dollar only in the sales revenue of this quarter. Gu Ge (small gain) the total sales revenue in that quarter is 10 billion dollar.
The sale of ITunes lags behind at the sale of IOS equipment apparently. If type of IOS equipment explosion grows, ITunes will reach 32 billion dollar to the sales revenue 2015. This number returns the ITunes Match, ICloud, new without computation growth that sheds the new sales revenue such as media service and the brand-new service that roll out for ITV.
Have a lot of rumor that will roll out ITV about the apple. The people of sing a different tune says, this is the market of a maturity that has a lot of successful manufacturers and small gain. Nevertheless, are they also to mobile phone market such saying?
A few facts of television industry are below. Global television sale was 210 million 2011, grow 17% than 2010. To 2015, global television sale will exceed 400 million.
The apple may sell ITV with the price of 1000 dollars. This means ITV to will approach 100 billion dollar in the sales revenue 2015, 16% what occupy malic battalion to close.
The apple makes with 6 years of time IPhone sale achieves 100 million. The apple will make with 4 years IPad sale achieves 100 million. If forecast correct, the apple will make inside 3 years ITV sales volume achieves 100 million free scooby costume .
IAd:
The apple appears to still have contradiction to whether entering advertisement market. Qiao Busi of no less than says two years ago in that way, advertise the reason of busi free canon ef 15mm ness is the ground returns a money more return developer, the saltant style that makes mobile advertisement bigger than having at present develops.
Roll out very quickly as ITV, the apple will enter advertising Wu. Advertisement market has latent capacity to make a huge market. Have forecast say, dimensions of market of mobile 2015 advertisement will amount to 25 billion dollar. Turn to the speed of the smartphone from table computer considering advertisement, this market dimensions that forecast may underestimate a half.
Can the apple amount to the mobile advertisement market of 50 billion dollar to own the market share of 20 billion dollar in dimensions? Jackson says, my viewpoint is this it is very easy.
IPay:
watch casesIf the apple likes to overturn tremendous, the market with not high efficiency, why to enter shift to pay a domain? Differ with Gu Ge, the apple likes to await before announcing a new product. PayPal has predicted the apple will enter this market.
Enter this market to want many more complex than joining 100 million pieces of credit card to ITunes account. But, eliminate the fee that inn pays malic shopkeeper credit card company to be able to save the income of 3 billion dollar for the apple merely.
If shift pays what the domain resembles expecting to warm up in that way, to 2015, the income of PayPal will rise 40 billion dollar from 4 billion dollar. How does apple of very difficult imagination think method wherefrom to at that time the market share that the market gets 20 billion dollar.
It is positive without the other that calculates inside factor below:
· enterprise may abandon PC and blackberry (small gain) equipment, use malic device quickly.
· education group is potential large-scale applying IPad replaces schoolbook.
· dividend shares out bonus and counter-purchase a stock to will support malic stock price further.
Conclusion:
As the apple all crucial markets begin high speed growth, the apple will become sales revenue to amount to the company of 610 billion dollar to 2015.
In the meantime, a when watch malic share price in the near future optimal index is city is sold lead (namely total market prise / advocate battalion business sales revenue) . The city with current apple is sold leading is 4 times, predict to will drop 2015 2.5 times.
Although according to this rate, the apple also becomes market prise easily to amount to the company of 1.53 trillion dollar to 2015. At this moment malic stock price will be 1650 dollars.
The applied rate of ITV should be even rapidder than IPad. Of functional mobile phone drop to grow those who be IPhone substantially open wide a gate. IPad market will be close to the dimensions of current PC market inside a few short years. Seek the IOS facility that owns complete set as people, mac machine will capture ceaselessly the portion of PC market.
IAd and IPay are to connect here match accord with. The dimensions that they forecast more hopefully the best selling memory card digital cameras than here likely is gotten greatly much.
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