Sunday, January 15, 2012

US stock " 5 join nether world " the ankylosis of backside

Ji Chen



Get data of main in March economy under anticipate, the United States appears on the market for the most part the inaccuracy that season of company money newspaper comes decides wait-and-see mood to affect, nearly 6 months before this walk along arrogant US stock go no fu the most popular scooby costume rther to rise, the new York after Easter shows all fronts issues defeat big 3, walk out of not only successive " 5 even shade " , of the previous night of Beijing time Zhou San, pa the most popular memory laptop toshiba th point to, the odd-numbered days expression of mark general index is to achieve the odd-numbered days since last year November more the biggest drop, accept shows closing quotation drops free memory laptop toshiba 3000 bits brokener, odd-numbered days is behaved also inside year the poorest. the best selling memory laptop toshi most popular selling memory card digital cameras ba



Although up to when distri memory card digital cameras buting news dispatches, US stock dish early days points to rebound, but analyst of negotiable securities of an United States points out to the reporter: "Even if is short-term dish the face rebounds probability is bigger, but investor is right the macroscopical face misgive of American economy not disappear, sign up for season to come as company money at the same time, early days is based on to cast on the market pressure heavier wait-and-see sentiment is strong with each passing day also.



Go two years, it is better that American stock market is behaved in the beginning of the year, enter appeared however in March problem, of that popular wall street " Sell In May And Go Away " (checked inventory in May from) can you return?



brass faucet

Anabiosis anxious not disappear QE3 anticipates abate



Although not was in,the near future touchs in public discourse monetary policy topic, beautiful couplet store the superintend premise that appeal of chairman Bai Nake wants to enhance pair of shadow bank systems, just shows American economy still did not restore completely in the influence from financial crisis continuously, caution shadow bank may bring risk and pressure to whole banking system.



Review the prices taking a cattle of US stock of a few months before this, the market is fluctuant and primary around anabiosis to American economy foreground, and alleged the 3rd round quantify loose monetary policy to publish possibility, produced alleged QE3 effect even.



However, point of view of near future majority is agreed with with each passing day, beautiful couplet store roll out QE3 condition immature, the market before this may speak to Bainake existence is excessive unscramble, hype atmosphere is powerful.



Negotiable securities of the people's livelihood points out, completely beautiful in March labour market restores hasten delay, state the hypostatic economy that includes manufacturing industry inside anabiosises continuously, but slower still, short-term inside creation post has larger space hard. Loose monetary policy anabiosises for private sector provided low cost money, but produce can digest pressure and demand to restore lack mechanical responsiveness to send hypostatic economy branch to create obtain employment to still short, the Keynesia trap effect of loose money is outstanding, and inflationary pressure can prevent beautiful couplet store roll out loose monetary policy further.



The bank that enrol business grinds the newspaper expresses, look be like market sentiment to turn warm, risk preference looks up gradually, but the fundamental key that only time can't turn round American economy whole to anabiosis according to wave motion, considering inflationary pressure, couplet Chu Wei holds existing full scope, and won't increase full scope, unless have more and exasperate signal. Market respect avoids danger mood not considerably changeover, current market environment is from crisis mode backward crisis mode transfers to relapse in level normally.



Besides anticipate with current QE3 abate and relevant, american Riverfront invests the fund manager Sam Turner of the group to express, company of near future United States is greeted 2012 money newspaper announces season first quarter, the comment anticipates gain of whole of company of this quarter United States will be contractive 0.1% , before breaking this rise of 9 months continuously continuously, "The market is full of insecurity and wait-and-see mood " .



Give doing what just add a fire again for nothing is, the national debt yield of Italy of of the previous night and Spain continues to climb litre, arouse the market to be opposite afresh of crisis of euro area debt anxious. Aggravate of wave motion of European stock market.



Much air ankyloses wait-and-see mood is powerful



Walk along the Niu Xiong of situation to forecast argue to be in every day almost about the market happen, flank also states US stock market is entering a many sky to ankylose really " kink prices period " .



The last ten-day of a month filled afterwards high in March European region economy, heavy goods and one of politic researcher controller exclaim of Peter Oppenheimer report now is the share is bought in lifetime best opportunity, price of equity risk excessive makes current stock price cheap all the more, long-term dispute often invests well.



Division David Kostin is in the strategy of stock market of presiding United States that contains a group high to maintained a viewpoint to think in March, 500 targets nod mark general this the most popular canon ef 15mm year the end of the year will be in 1250 a little bit, reason is American economy is in sluggish to bilge and grow under the trend, historical experience shows, economy grows fatigued and weak circumstance to fall, stock market accrual is behaved normally flatly.



Those like those who forecast to be made every year in the light of the market regularly " wall street is top class and politic master " , also phonate again and again.



American black Shi Gu asks copartner assistant president Byron R. Wien points out in newest recently comment, although to mark general 500 indexes rise those who come 1400 a little bit to forecast inside year had come true successfully in 2 quarters, but he insists to think 500 indexes also can achieve mark general 1500 a little bit, just many investor are opposite this relatively hopeful forecast hold distrustful manner.



Before this, another Gao Cheng that likes to do year to forecast Jim O of endowment canal president ' Neill points to continuously in investing a viewpoint in March, US stock daytime trades because the market lacks truly positive signal,quantity inadequacy is, wait-and-see sentiment is strong.



Up to evening of Beijing time Zhou San 22 when 30 minutes, the United States points to big 3 all rebound nearly 1% , dow Jones index rises to 1284 the most popular t mobile prepaid cards 0 bits of a gleam of, still relatively 13289.08 bits of early days perch nearly 450 bits lower.

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